If there is a ceasefire deal, there should be a document signed by officials from both Iran and Israel, dated appropriately, and laying out the actual terms of cessation of hostilities, such as demanding that Israel halt all car bombings, assassinations of scientists, etc. Further, the document would obviously state a desired duration of the ceasefire and it would typically lay out a planned date for peace talks. To my knowledge, no such document exists. No one has publicly produced such a document. No U.S. official has even claimed that such a document exists. Instead, Trump says the duration is (absurdly) "forever" while Israel is clearly only begging for a ceasefire because it's getting decimated by Iran and can't survive much more of the punishment. Absent an official, signed cessation of hostilities, what Trump has actually announced is that he got some dudes on the phone and they said, "Yeah, we cool for now" and that's it. So this is a VERBAL agreement between two nations that have, for decades, sought to completely destroy each other. I repeat: A VERBAL agreement, apparently with no enumerated terms whatsoever. So the claim that this is "forever" is just beyond insane, and even the claim that it's a "ceasefire" can't be supported by any documentary evidence at all. This is a "the check is in the mail" declaration by people who are not serious about negotiating anything lasting (Israel and the USA). Does this mean Israel will denounce its "Greater Israel" aim of expansion and colonization? Of course not. Will Israel agree to give up its illegal nuclear weapons? Of course not. Will Iran surrender its uranium stockpiles to the USA? Not a chance. Will Israel stop bombing civilians in Gaza? Nope. So there is no reconciliation here, and therefore no lasting peace. I hope someone can find and produce a signed document of this "ceasefire," but I doubt anyone can because I doubt such a document even exists. This is all just "take my word for it" nonsense, and such nonsense never holds any real weight. And those claiming this represents "a thousand years" of peace are laughably delusional.

Trump reportedly told NBC News the ceasefire will "last forever." And Santa Claus has flying reindeer. And the Easter Bunny is real, too. My God, who is dumb enough to believe this claim? Again, my prediction, on the record, is that this ceasefire doesn't last 1,000 hours. Hope I'm wrong...

We have now entered the era of Shrodinger's Ceasefire, where there is a claimed ceasefire in a box, but none of us know if it's dead or alive until we open the box, at which point the probability wave of Middle East ceasefires collapses and we end up with, almost certainly, a dead cat.