Study: Countries with lowest vaccination rates have fewer coronavirus cases compared to fully vaccinated countries
10/26/2021 // Zoey Sky // Views

A new study found that countries with low levels of vaccination against the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) have recorded fewer cases of infection compared to well-vaccinated countries.

The study was published in the European Journal of Epidemiology and spearheaded by S. V. Subramanian with the Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies. The study also included researchers from the Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

For the study, the scientists looked at available data from 68 countries and 2,947 counties in the United States.

COVID-19 vaccine doesn't make a difference

Findings from the study showed that increases in coronavirus cases are unrelated to levels of vaccination in the countries and U.S. counties assessed.

Most countries rely on vaccines as the primary mitigation strategy to prevent coronavirus infections. In America, the ongoing surge of new cases is allegedly due to many areas with low vaccination rates. Other countries like Germany and the United Kingdom are using a similar narrative to convince citizens that vaccine mandates are the answer to the pandemic.

The scientists looked into the potential links between the percentage of the population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the countries and American counties included in the study. They used coronavirus data from Our World in Data website for cross-country analysis. The last update of data was within three days of Sept. 3.

Our World in Data aims to address worldwide problems like disease, poverty, hunger, war, existential risks and inequality. The organization involves thousands of researchers across the world who help provide information for accessible databases. Overall, the organization is about "research and data to make progress against the world's largest problems."


There is no "discernable relationship" between the percentage of fully vaccinated people and new cases

For the county-level analysis in America, scientists used the White House COVID-19 Team data made available on Sept. 2.

The research team also compared countries with various rates of percentages of their population fully vaccinated against coronavirus. Results showed that the "countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people."

Researchers found that at the country-level, there seems to be no discernable association between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new coronavirus cases within the last seven days.

According to the trend line, there was a marginally positive association. Countries with higher percentage of the population fully vaccinated actually have more coronavirus cases per one million people.

In fact, Israel with over 60 percent of its population fully vaccinated had the highest coronavirus cases per one million people within the last seven days. (Related: Singapore COVID-19 outbreak worsens despite 80 percent vaccination rate.)

Iceland and Portugal also proved the lack of a meaningful association between the percentage of the population fully vaccinated and new coronavirus cases.

Both countries have over 75 percent of their population fully vaccinated. But Iceland and Portugal have also recorded more coronavirus cases per one million people compared to countries with low vaccination rates like South Africa and Vietnam.

Counties with high vaccination rates have more coronavirus cases

Like Israel, U.S. counties with the highest vaccination rates also have the highest incidents of COVID-19 cases.

The same was observed in several American counties, with the median new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people in the last seven days very similar across the categories of percent population fully vaccinated.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), out of the top five counties with the highest percentage of the population fully vaccinated (at least 84.3 to 99.9 percent), the U.S. identifies four of them as "high" transmission counties.

Chattahoochee (Georgia), McKinley (New Mexico) and Arecibo (Puerto Rico) counties have above 90 percent of their population fully vaccinated, yet all counties are classified as "high" transmission.

On the other hand, out of all the 57 counties that the CDC classified as "low" transmission counties, 26.3 percent (15 counties) only have 20 percent or lower of their population fully vaccinated.

With data like this, it's hard to believe that you can protect yourself from coronavirus with vaccines. Think twice before getting inoculated, especially if you don't want to experience any of the negative side effects linked to coronavirus vaccines.

Go to for more information on the coronavirus pandemic.

Sources include:

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