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200,000 more Ebola deaths before the end of 2014, concludes university computer model


Ebola deaths

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(NaturalNews) West Africa is dealing with one of the most ravaging viral pandemics in world history. Past Ebola outbreaks pale in comparison to the rapidly mutating strain ripping through Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone today. Each past outbreak affected no more than a few hundred people. Today, there have been several thousand cases documented and over 2,000 deaths. There has been more transmission between humans in the past four months than there had in the past 500 or more years concerning Ebola. As the infections transmit and multiply, it evolves so fast that any single-mode vaccine could very well not contain it. Full-spectrum antiviral herbs that have evolved over thousands of years in nature to destroy pathogens are the best bet for treatment right now, but peculiarly, no government is handing these out at the moment.

200,000 more projected Ebola cases in 2014 begs some questions

Two researchers from the University of Tokyo and Arizona State University have grown concerned about Ebola's potential to reach even further, affecting hundreds of thousands of people. Using a special computer model, they were able to calculate and predict the Ebola infection rate for the year 2014, by tracking the virus's contagion ability using a simple formula.

What the model suggests is jaw dropping: Up to 200,000 more deaths could occur by the end of 2014!

As the body count tallies up, it's beginning to appear like Ebola may be some kind of population-reduction scheme. Even if the outbreak was not contrived, 200,000 deaths is a pretty large reduction of people. Isn't it strange that the US CDC owns a patent on a particular strain of Ebola known as "EboBun"? Patent Number CA2741523A1 was awarded to them in 2010.

And then there's the question: What does the future hold beyond 2014? If the virus takes hold in cities, infecting an immune-system-suppressed population, how quickly could cities turn to chaos, like giant ant hills being stepped on and splattered into panic? How far could population reduction go?

How might viruses be the new weapons of war, used to destabilize a region and give excuse for military intervention to come in and take over the country's resources, government, policing and medical care? How might patented viruses be the perfect opportunity to launch new vaccination businesses to create a boon and control populations simultaneously?

Why would US military soldiers be sent into the region, and why would martial law and lockdowns be ordered throughout these countries? Apparently, not all in the villages are okay with this kind of takeover. Villagers in a Guinean town killed eight healthcare workers who were going house to house.

University computer model shows Ebola reproducing, affecting up to two people for every one infected

In the university computer model, the Ebola death rate was calculated by using case reports to determine the "reproductive number" using an "R-nought" formula used in epidemiology studies. This number expresses how many cases of Ebola re likely to be caused by any one infected person. A reproductive number measuring less than 1 signifies that the outbreak will die out. When it exceeds 1, the outbreak is expected to multiply. In this case, the reproductive number was pegged to a point in time and graphed. Many cases showed a reproductive number of at least 1, meaning that Ebola was likely to be spread to at least one other person. In some cases, the computer model gave the reproductive number as 2, showing that one sick person was likely to infect two others.

The results were published in the journal Eurosurveillance. The computer model predicted a worst-case scenario, tallying up an additional 77,181 to 277,124 cases of Ebola by the end of 2014. With a mortality rate over 70%, 277,124 Ebola cases would translate to around 200,000 deaths.

To learn more about how to prepare for a potential Ebola crisis here in the U.S., be sure to check out:
BioDefense.com.

Sources:

http://www.wired.com

http://www.naturalnews.com

http://www.cnn.com

http://www.nbcnews.com

http://science.naturalnews.com

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