Kaczynski, who briefly served as Poland's prime minister from 2006 to 2007, made this claim during a PiS rally in the town of Nowa Sol in southwest Poland. He warned that the country's liberal opposition, led by the Civic Platform Party and its left-liberal coalition, the Civic Coalition, will go after conservatives in power should they win the next election. (Related: Ukraine's missile strike into Poland a "provocation" against government in Warsaw, warns Polish politician.)
"They are proposing something like a civil war, and if there is no resistance – and I am sure there would be resistance – then that would not be civil war, but the pacification of opponents," said Kaczynski.
Kaczynski further noted that, upon the accession of a new liberal government, Poland will have to deal with a government that focuses on wreaking vengeance on the conservatives who are presently in power rather than actually governing Poland and addressing the needs of the Polish people. He added that a Civic Platform-led government would no doubt break the law and the principle of democracy in an attempt to make sure PiS never becomes a threat again.
The PiS chairman pointed out that members of the opposition have used very threatening language against conservatives, including warning them of possible imprisonment under a liberal government, and that these kinds of words are alien to democracy. He further argues that these kinds of words are "a threat to all the freedoms Poles have won over the past 30 years since the end of communism."
Kaczynski's warning comes at a time when opinion polls show that PiS and its coalition of conservative parties known as the United Right are expected to lose their majority in parliament.
In the last parliamentary election in 2019, the United Right won 43.6 percent of the vote and a very slim majority of seats in the Sejm – the Polish parliament. The Civic Platform-led liberal coalition garnered 27.4 percent of the votes.
Most recent polls show that the Civic Platform's coalition has barely gained any additional support since the 2019 election, currently polling at 29 percent. However, the United Right's polling numbers have dropped in the past three years and they are currently polling at 37 percent.
This suggests that the United Right will be unable to form a solid majority in the Sejm unless it can gain the support of other conservative coalitions, including Kukiz'15 and Confederation Liberty and Independence.
But both Kukiz'15 and Confederation are currently polling really low – one percent and seven percent, respectively – which also suggests that even if they were to band together, PiS would not be able to command a majority in parliament.
On the other hand, the Civic Coalition could potentially call for the support of the centrist Poland 2050 party, the liberal-conservative Polish Coalition and the left-wing coalition The Left to create a solid majority in the Sejm. These three other parties and coalitions are currently polling at 10 percent, five percent and nine percent, respectively. If they were to agree to a Civic Platform-led government, it would give them a majority and dethrone PiS, which has led the Polish government since 2015.
Current support for the government of PiS Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki has also fallen to its lowest level since he became head of government in 2017 at 26 percent.
Furthermore, divisions within the United Right are threatening PiS' current government. Aleks Szczerbiak, writing for Notes From Poland, even suggested that PiS may not have enough votes to pass crucial legislation without opposition support.
All of these problems suggest that Kaczynski's prediction of a future liberal-led government may come true. Whether Polish liberals will institute a crackdown against conservatives remains to be seen.
Watch this episode of "Through the Eyes of" as host Ania K talks to Scott Ritter regarding the potential for a new conflict to break out in Poland.