Today, the official government reporting on the coronavirus puts the number of infected individuals at 9,816, with 213 reported dead.
Seven days ago, on Jan. 23rd, the official numbers were 941 infected, with an unknown number dead.
This means in seven days, the number of confirmed infected patients has grown from 941 to 9,816. That's an increase of over 10X, or 1000%.
Software models of the coronavirus told us that the number of infected patients would merely double every seven days, but according to this trend, we're actually seeing a rise of 1000% in ten days: (note, this chart doesn't yet show Jan. 30th, which is even higher)
This new count from the South China Morning Post shows the current numbers of 9816 infected and 213 dead:
This increase rate cannot possibly be sustained and is likely to settle to a lower rate once the full effects of China's draconian quarantine efforts take hold. If China's quarantine is successful, we would expect to see a leveling off of reports of new infections. That would indicate the high transmission chapter of this outbreak would be waning, at least for China.
However, if the growth rate remains above a doubling of infections every 7 days or so, it means the pandemic is spreading outside the control of the quarantine.
Our best guess here is that this shockingly high growth rate won't last long and will begin to reveal a reduction in the rate of growth of new infections. That will likely happen over the next 2 - 8 days. If it doesn't happen, it means things are far worse than we feared.
In other words, we do not expect infections to grow another 1000% in the next 7 days. Rather, the rate of growth is likely to slow over the next few days. A more conservative estimate is that we will see a total of 20,000 infections 7 days from now (roughly a doubling of current infections), which is still an exploding pandemic, by the way. If the infections double every week, it doesn't take long before it's impacting millions of people.
Mike Adams (aka the "Health Ranger") is the founding editor of NaturalNews.com, a best selling author (#1 best selling science book on Amazon.com called "Food Forensics"), an environmental scientist, a patent holder for a cesium radioactive isotope elimination invention, a multiple award winner for outstanding journalism, a science news publisher and influential commentator on topics ranging from science and medicine to culture and politics.
Mike Adams also serves as the lab science director of an internationally accredited (ISO 17025) analytical laboratory known as CWC Labs. There, he was awarded a Certificate of Excellence for achieving extremely high accuracy in the analysis of toxic elements in unknown water samples using ICP-MS instrumentation.
In his laboratory research, Adams has made numerous food safety breakthroughs such as revealing rice protein products imported from Asia to be contaminated with toxic heavy metals like lead, cadmium and tungsten. Adams was the first food science researcher to document high levels of tungsten in superfoods. He also discovered over 11 ppm lead in imported mangosteen powder, and led an industry-wide voluntary agreement to limit heavy metals in rice protein products.
Adams has also helped defend the rights of home gardeners and protect the medical freedom rights of parents. Adams is widely recognized to have made a remarkable global impact on issues like GMOs, vaccines, nutrition therapies, human consciousness.